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France’s Grand Illusion
Teaching schoolchildren about French greatness can’t save France...David Rieff ARTHUR RIMBAUD’S great 1871 poem, “Morning of Drunkenness,” concludes with a famous prediction: “Now is the time of the...
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Asia's Economic Miracle: Dead and Buried?
Did robots kill of one of the greatest economic success stories ever? You make the call...Julian SnelderEast Asia's path to industrial success is well-trodden, first by Japan, then the four tigers and...
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5 Latin American Priorities for the next U.S. President
How to bring the region back into play for U.S. foreign policy...Ana QuintanaFor much of the last century, Latin America has seldom been a major focus for U.S. foreign policy. Yet President Obama’s...
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Why America's Debt Bomb Won't Explode... Yet
Debt levels may be enormous, but interest payments aren't at historical highs.Samuel RinesIn Schrodinger’s famous thought experiment, a cat is placed in a sealed box with a mechanism rigged to possibly...
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China's Economic Plan to Rule Asia
"So long as China maintains its position as a key trading partner and source of large-scale investments...Beijing will maintain significant influence over its neighbors."Richard Javad HeydarianThe past...
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5 Reasons America Should Fear the Global Middle Class
The rise of the global middle class could prove to be even more harmful than climate change...Brenda M. SeaverIn his last State of the Union address, President Obama made a pitch for “middle class...
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Will Japan Survive Its Great Big Debt Disaster?
"The Japanese economy is in a race between the need to increase economic growth, which seems to be gradually taking hold, and the pressing urgency to control debt."Scott MacDonaldGreece, China, Puerto...
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Why (Almost) Everything You Hear About the Digital Economy Is Wrong
We need to stop allowing the economic tail to wag the dog.Nick Ashton-HartWhen most people think of the Internet they think of what they use—search engines, social media, online and streamed video and...
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Greece's Austerity Deal: Welcome to Power Politics in the Eurozone
"What is happening is that the age-old logic of power politics is undermining the European project of transnational integration on equal terms..." Sean MirskiAndrew J. O'ShaughnessyEven as new dramas...
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We Asked William J. Burns: What Should Be the Purpose of American Power?
"Effective projection of American power requires reinforcing America's economic, political and moral foundations." William J. BurnsEditor’s Note: The following is part of TNI’s special 30th anniversary...
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Is China’s Soft-Power Bubble about to Burst?
"The Beijing Consensus may have hit the wall, necessitating some fundamental rethinking if China wants to maintain its commercially driven power of attraction and persuasion."Richard Javad HeydarianIn...
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The Central Bank Dilemma
Jay ZawatskyReferring to gold and all physical money as a “barbarous relic” (a phrase “coined” … please excuse the misuse of the term… by Lord Keynes, see Monetary Reform (1924), p. 172) is the...
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Brazil's Massive Confidence Crisis
"For a country hosting the 2016 summer Olympics, the image of Brazil should be one of hope and glory, not malaise and dashed dreams."Scott MacDonaldBrazil is undergoing a crisis of confidence. Latin...
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The American Century: RIP?
Americans should stop talking about “decline.” Instead, we should face the fact that we will have to lead for decades to come.Joseph S. Nye JrOn the eve of Chinese president Xi Jinping’s state visit,...
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The Big Hail Mary: Can Jack Kemp Save the GOP?
In their new biography, Fred Barnes and Morton Kondracke contend that Jack Kemp, football star, politician and champion of supply-side economics, is an exemplar for today’s GOP. Geoffrey...
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Why Big Business Loves Climate Change Regulations
When the deal’s going down, you’ve got to grab a seat at the table to protect your interests.Nicolas LorisPolls bear it out: When it comes to climate change, the world isn’t much interested in taking...
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Are We Ready for the Next Emerging Market Crisis?
Although a severe global financial crisis remains a tail risk and not the base case, governments should be prepared to respond.Robert KahnThis summer’s market turmoil was a serious jolt to emerging...
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The Trans-Pacific Partnership: What Happens Now?
"So don’t be surprised if a vote on TPP gets kicked into a lame-duck session or even into next year and a new administration."James M. LindsayThe Obama administration yesterday released the full text...
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Russia's Economy: What Do the Numbers Tell Us?
In short, the prospects currently look dismal. Even a rapid and sustained resuscitation in energy prices is unlikely to restore growth to levels experienced earlier this decade. William T. WilsonBefore...
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Drugs and Political Decay in Venezuela
Economic mismanagement may finally push Hugo Chávez's political heir out of power.Scott MacDonaldPresident Nicolás Maduro and his United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) are probably heading toward...
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